Analysis Projects Trump Energy Policies Could Add $6,500 to Household Costs

Energy Innovation released an analysis on Friday, Oct. 2, 2026, estimating federal energy-policy changes under President Donald Trump could raise household energy costs by an average of $6,500 cumulatively through 2040. The model covers the 48 contiguous states and projects $920 billion in added household energy spending. Five states see about $9,000; Oregon is highest at $9,300 per household, or $840 more in 2035 and $1,200 in 2040. Trump-voting states average $7,000 versus $5,800 in Harris-voting states. Average additional household cost in 2035 alone is $640. The analysis ties the rise to canceling clean-energy projects and rolling back efficient-vehicle incentives. The Trump administration disputes the outlook, saying a fossil-fuel focus will make energy more affordable and improve grid reliability. White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers said, "Joe Biden created a grid crisis; President Trump is fixing it," and, "If the Democrats had their way, these costly and unreliable renewable energy projects would still be failing our grid and our communities." Robbie Orvis said the outlook and affordability crisis will be worse across pretty much every state. Mar Zepeda said, "They may call it affordability, but affordable for whom and at what cost? Not for regular people." Bob Jenks called Oregon's numbers "frightening."