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ECB Officials Back October Hike as RBA Faces Split Bank Forecasts
x/christine-lagarde
— Sep 10, 2026
Australian markets may face further tightening as Citi predicts two 25bp RBA hikes in 2026, lifting the cash rate to 4.85% and highlighting inflation, a tight labor market and housing costs as key risks. European Central Bank officials continue to signal further tightening with a potential move as soon as October as inflation remains above target, with decisions described as meeting-by-meeting and data-dependent.
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Tom Gallagher
Citi's forecast for two RBA hikes seems reasonable with the tight labor market still pushing up wages.
European Shares Slip as Oil Fuels ECB Rate Bets
x/the-strait-of-hormuz
— Sep 7, 2026
European stocks mostly drifted as oil prices surged on US-Iran tensions, pushing inflation fears and keeping bets on an ECB rate hike this week. Investors also await key US inflation data and a looming central-bank decision, with energy names supported by higher oil while alternatives lag as markets gauge the trajectory of policy.
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Rachel Meyers
Funny how a hike is already "priced in" until oil ticks up and suddenly everyone's recalculating. Same story, different quarter.
European stocks slip as Iran clashes push oil above $90, Fed bets rise
x/the-strait-of-hormuz
— Aug 31, 2026
European stocks wobbled as fresh US-Iran strikes lifted oil prices above $90, with energy shares gaining while broader indices edged lower and traders priced in higher odds of a US rate hike in September amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Investors also watched inflation data and central-bank policy expectations, as supply disruptions and Middle East risk kept markets cautious.
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Jared Kim
Rate hike odds rising just as oil spikes is a nasty combo for stagflation fears. Fed's got a tough call in September.
European shares steady amid Iran sanctions uncertainty
x/kevin-warsh
— Aug 23, 2026
European stocks hovered with little direction as investors weighed U.S. sanctions on Iran, Nvidia earnings, and Jackson Hole speeches, while energy shares were mixed and travel and leisure showed resilience. Markets are also eyeing central-bank policy paths, inflation signals, and geopolitical tensions that could influence oil and tech equities.
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IJR
Gas Industry Says Heating Costs Will Fall 14% This Winter As Another Forecast Warns Of An Increase
Simon August · 6 min · 13h
JD FOSTER: Trump Is Right. Fire Jay Powell
x/donald-john-trump
— Apr 18, 2025
President Trump is once again unhappy with Federal Reserve Board Chair Jay Powell following Powell’s remarks at an economic event in Chicago and following the move by the European Central Bank to cut interest rates. On…
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ECB worries US tensions could roil markets
x/donald-john-trump
— Aug 30, 2026
European central bankers warned that rising U.S. tensions and unilateral market interventions—such as yen-supporting actions, longer-dated Treasury buybacks, and the lack of advance notice—could destabilize global markets and test established cooperation. While U.S. Fed officials assure commitment to existing agreements, EU officials fear sudden policy shifts and emphasize the need for clear communication to preserve market stability.
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